By Marina Zhang
After analyzing the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System reports of injuries following COVID-19 vaccines, Jessica Rose, Ph.D., concluded “human physiology is seemingly at the mercy of whatever’s in these shots, particularly the mRNA shots, but not exclusively.”
Jessica Rose is a Canadian molecular biologist. She was also trained in biostatistics during her Ph.D. and hated it.
But since the vaccine rollouts over two years ago, she has been analyzing statistics every day.
What she has found are unprecedented reports in its quantity and the alarm.
To give an example, childhood dementia is a rare vaccine adverse event. Yet COVID-19 vaccines contributed to 11.2% of all dementia and related adverse events in children aged 6 to 17 on the VAERS database.
In young adults aged 18 to 29, COVID-19 vaccines were related to 50.9% of all dementia and related adverse events.
Unprecedented reports in quantity and alarm
“There are so many things in there [VAERS] that are rare, that are new: cancers that shouldn’t be happening in certain subsets of the population like ALL [acute lymphoblastic leukemia] in adults, male breast cancers, dementia in children … you name it,” Rose told The Epoch Times by phone.
ALL is a cancer condition that can affect all age groups but is the most common in children aged 0 to 14. There have also been reports of neuromyelitis in women in older age groups even though the condition mostly affects younger women.
Looking at VAERS as safety signals for the COVID-19 vaccines alone, Rose said that “human physiology is seemingly at the mercy of whatever’s in these shots, particularly the mRNA shots, but not exclusively.”
Assuming that the vaccine was associated with the onset of these adverse events, Rose said she is completely baffled by what exactly is put into these vaccine vials to contribute to these events.
She gave the example of sudden adult death syndrome, or SADS, which has been emerging and reported in several young athletes.
“I’m trying to wrap my brain around this, what … could you be injecting into people that would cause them to die quickly? It’s very weird to me, very weird. I have no answer to that question. I always think [that it could be] electricity.
“You’re seeing a lot of footage of athletes and healthy young people, just dropping, they don’t even have time to cover their face [often a sign of neural impairment]. Something really switches off, and I can’t figure out what that is.”
Strong evidence of causation
Rose said that there is strong evidence of causation by simply looking at the VAERS data, alone.
But she conceded that “causation is a judgement call.”
“It’s important for everyone to understand that we can provide strong evidence of causal effects, but it’s always a judgement call on our part.”
The common criteria used to evaluate causation is the Bradford Hill criteria: it is a list with 9 to 10 criteria that need to be satisfied, though causations can usually be called when five or six points are fulfilled.
The World Health Organization only lists seven of the Bradford Hill criteria for causality.
The authors of the report stated that the seven criteria are all relevant to assessing causality, though temporality is the most essential.
“One of the most important ones is temporality,” Rose said, this means that the adverse event has to follow the vaccination or whatever is administered, and the shorter the time frame, the stronger the association.
“Think of an acute reaction to a trigger like anaphylaxis,” Rose said, “if somebody gets injected with something, and within 15 minutes, they can’t breathe, or they’re having severe chest pain, or have some kind of cardiac event, there isn’t a human being on the planet who’s not going to say, oh, it’s because of the shot, or at least say it’s probably because of the shot.”
As of Sept. 29, the U.S. VAERS data shows that around 53.6% of all reported adverse events since the COVID-19 vaccine rollouts occurred between day 0 and day 1.
The other nine criteria include strength (association), specificity, consistency, dose-response, plausibility, coherence, experiment, analogy and reversibility.
At a video conference on the World Council for Health, Rose presented her findings of causal evidence for all 10 criteria.
Apart from temporality, another common criteria is strength. This tests the strength of the association between vaccination and adverse events. If a positive association exists, as vaccination increases, adverse events should also increase.
Rose tested this by comparing the number of severe adverse events between the vaccinated and the placebo group in the Moderna trials.
Both groups had around 15,000 people.
In the supplementary appendix, the data showed that 83 people in the vaccinated group had severe adverse events as compared to 31 in the placebo group.
By putting these numbers in a Chi-square test, Rose found that there was a significance in the difference between the two groups.
“When you compare the number of severe adverse events in the drug arm — the mRNA 1273 arm — versus the placebo, you find a statistically significant difference between the two groups.
You can see that the number of severe adverse event reports were actually higher in the drug arm,” Rose said on the video conference.
The P-value measured in a Chi-square test generally needs a number less than 0.05 to consider the association to be significant; the lower the number the greater the significance.
For the Moderna data, the P-value was less than 0.00001, showing a significant result with a strong association.